The GBP/USD pair is under pressure due to a combination of political and economic factors in the UK. One of the key concerns driving the currency pair’s volatility is the ongoing political uncertainty surrounding Brexit and the broader economic challenges the UK faces. Inflation remains persistent, with wages and services inflation hovering around 6%, which has complicated the Bank of England’s (BoE) decision-making process regarding interest rate cuts .
The BoE has been cautious about lowering interest rates too soon, as inflation is still well above its target range. This hesitation has contributed to downward pressure on the pound, as markets anticipate that the central bank might not act as aggressively as expected to stimulate the economy. The BoE’s next rate decision is critical, and traders are watching for signs of whether the central bank will shift its policy stance in response to economic conditions .
In addition, the UK is grappling with weak growth, and recent economic data has added to concerns about the future outlook for the pound. Any negative surprises in upcoming inflation data or further political instability could add to the pressure on GBP/USD, potentially driving it lower in the short term .
Given these dynamics, market participants are closely monitoring both the economic indicators and any developments in UK politics to gauge the next moves in the GBP/USD market.